Business

Eurozone inflation drops

March 3, 2010

Inflation in the 16 countries that use the euro fell in February, official figures showed on Tuesday, in a further sign that price pressures remain subdued in the wake of the recession.

Eurostat, the EU's statistics office, said that eurozone prices are estimated to have risen by 0.9 per cent in February from the year before. That rate is down from the 11-month high of 1 per cent recorded in January.

The decline was unexpected - the consensus in the markets was for inflation to hold steady at 1 per cent.

No further details were provided, but more information will come when Eurostat publishes its full release on March 16.

Nevertheless, the figures give further evidence that inflationary pressures remain constrained by a near 10 per cent unemployment rate and subdued money growth.

This view was further underlined by another release from Eurostat showing that prices at the factory gate fell by 1 per cent in January from the year before.

The figures are also likely to reinforce market expectations that the European Central Bank will not be raising its benchmark interest rate from the current record low of 1 per cent anytime soon. The bank is tasked with keeping inflation at or just below 2 per cent.

"In all, then, we still expect headline inflation to ease back towards zero over the remainder of the year, suggesting that it will be a long while yet before the ECB begins thinking about raising interest rates," said Ben May, European economist at Capital Economics.

Though an interest rate increase is not thought to be imminent, the central bank's president Jean-Claude Trichet is expected to announce on Thursday, at the conclusion of the latest monetary policy meeting, that special liquidity measures introduced to prop up the banking system during the financial crisis and the recession will continue to be wound down.

AP

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