Business

Home prices rise as owners upgrade

Chris Zappone
October 29, 2009

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How a pool helps your property

Stephen Nicholls looks at the benefits of a pool in the property market.

Home prices rose across Australia in the three months to September, as investors upgraded to more expensive properties.

The adjusted median price on houses in capital cities rose 3.7 per cent in the September quarter, while prices for units jumped 3.4 per cent, according to Australian Property Monitors.

"The extraordinary recovery at the upper end of the market experienced in June in most major capitals has now spread to the rest of the country," said APM economist Matthew Bell.

"Another quarter of improving employment results and the share market rising by 20 per cent has meant that buyers are stepping into the oversold top end of the market to purchase properties at prices still below their late 2007 highs," he said.

Owners who sold properties while the full First Home Owner Grant was offered have used their earnings to buy more expensive homes and units, Mr Bell said. That in turn has put more pressure on the upper end of the market.

The full grant ran from October 2008 to September of 2009 and will continue in a reduced form until the end of the year. More recently, official data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics showed an 8 per cent rise in investment loans in August.

Melbourne's adjusted median house price jumped the most in the nation, rising 6.1 per cent to $487,246. Sydney's house prices gained 3.6 per cent $569,061, while Perth's increased only 1.7 per cent to $494,409, APM data showed. APM is owned by Fairfax, publisher of this site.

So far in 2009, home prices across Australia have increased 7.1 per cent, boosted by a shortage of supply, low interest rates and the expansion of the First Home Owners Buyers grant.

The local economy's growth has defied expectations, measuring only one quarter of contraction while the financial crisis sapped economies elsewhere such as the US and Europe.

Rates risk

Interest rates are on the rise with the Reserve Bank expected to increase its cash rate to 3.5 per cent, following a rise to 3.25 per cent earlier this month.

Mr Bell said rising interest rates was the main risk to home prices.

''While the explosive growth seen in the upper end of the market is expected to slow as prices reach and exceed their late 2007 highs, moderate to strong growth is expected across the market as a whole for the remainder of 2009 and 2010.

''The question as to whether this growth can be sustained throughout 2010 depends on how quickly mortgage rates rise in the next six months,'' he said.

Brisbane house prices rose 1 per cent to $430,868, while Hobart's jumped 5.4 per cent to $311,366. In Canberra prices increased 4.8 per cent in the quarter to $511,820 and in Adelaide they increased 3.3 per cent to $421,765.

Home prices have jumped 28.1 per cent from 2003-04 to the June quarter 2009 alone, official data shows.

Affordability

However, the soaring prices have put home ownership out of reach for many.

The Housing Industry Association and Commonwealth Bank first home buyer affordability index, released last week, dropped 3.3 per cent in the September quarter, following a 5 per cent slide in the June quarter.

''Many of my friends and I, just hitting forty, missed the boat to buy in Sydney,'' said Doonside, NSW-resident Natalie Oliver.

''We graduated, worked in ordinary paying jobs, and some in the charity sector, happy to accept that NGOs (non-governmental organisations) pay less than the average wage.''

''But for the past ten years (after paying off HECS) we find that it is never the right time to enter the housing market.''

Ms Oliver said that even if she moved to Newcastle or Wollongong, based on her earnings, she could still not afford to buy.

czappone@fairfax.com.au

BusinessDay

41 comments so far

  • with the government allowing people with Temporary Residency to buy landed property instead of apartments have created so much havoc in our market.Those big buyers have heaps of cash coming from overseas to buy those houses we residents have been saving hard for.Yes it boosts our economy in vic but it hurts those who are in blue collar jobs who longed to have a place in a decent suburb now have to relocated to places in the outer suburbs of Melbourne! I really hope that the Rudd Gov. will allow those that have Temp Residency to buy apartments for starters until they have their citizenship. I think is is a fair game for us locals and people coming to join us as one big family.This suggestion is not racism or discrimination but how to manage our social problem! Omg why am I telling the Gov how to run their biz!

    Commenter
    Jos
    Location
    Box Hill
    Date and time
    October 29, 2009, 10:51AM
  • Right on Jos.

    My wife and I have been saving up for years to buy a house, but it is always out of reach. Our governments keep inflating this bubble. When the time comes for Australians to repay our historically unprecedented high level of PRIVATE debt, we will all be in serious trouble. To cover their butts they will bring in more and more people in a weird kind of immigration ponzi scheme, and wreck everything that was once good about living here.

    Our governments ceased long ago to work for the people they represent. Their job is to prop up hegemonies, and traumatise their political opposition.

    Wake up Australia. Vote these idiots out, neither one of the 2 big parties will act in our interest.

    Commenter
    J
    Location
    Melbourne
    Date and time
    October 29, 2009, 11:34AM
  • Housing affordability has got to be addressed! Too many people moving to Melbourne.

    Commenter
    AC
    Location
    Melbourne
    Date and time
    October 29, 2009, 11:31AM
  • Jos is absolutely right. Those overseas $ that probably come in bags are just buying off houses without them even battering an eyelid. There should be a differential between those who are truly rooted here and those who are here temporarily, meanwhile enjoying all the benefits and ultimately, leaving here when all they had becomes legit.

    Commenter
    R
    Location
    Vic
    Date and time
    October 29, 2009, 11:53AM
  • Why is it the journalists are ignoring that Foreign Investment boards decision (driven by Rudd) to allow investment in housing beyond apartments.
    The real estate agents have said it publicly, yet nobody in the press seems to want to address it as a real issue & keep focusing on the first home buyers grant which is negligible versus the foreign buyers impact.

    My wife & I have attended a number of auctions recently & have witnessed first hand overseas buyers pushing prices 20%+ beyond the asking price for properties.
    This then flows through to increased demand of domestic buyers competiting for increasingly fewer properties on the market.

    When will the Government be held accountable?

    Commenter
    J
    Location
    Melbourne
    Date and time
    October 29, 2009, 12:18PM
  • The other aspect of the housing market which needs to be addressed is the role of investors in pushing up prices and reducing the amount of affordable housing available to people who just want to buy a home to live in.

    In Box Hill over the last few years it seems around 3 out of 5 homes get sold to cashed up investors who are able to out bid the rest of us at auction thanks to a line of credit.

    There is an opportunity there to make heaps of cash (if you have access to a large sum already) which could be restricted by taxation rules and encourage investors to look elsewhere for investment opportunities giving the rest of us a bit more of a chance of buying a home rather than a commodity.

    I can't blame people for taking legitimate opportunites but the role of government in all this should be to redress the balance and give us all a fair go.

    The current system is more and more geared in favour of those who already have heaps of money to make heaps more.

    Example: 3 bed weatherboard house in Box Hill South bought for over $600k, demolished, building commenced on two new town houses advertised on realestate.com.au for $740k each off the plan...
    (the house would have been worth around $200k in 2001)

    Commenter
    JB
    Location
    Box Hill
    Date and time
    October 29, 2009, 12:38PM
  • More than the govt its the developers who are hoarding land, as they obviously saw the above numbers, way before you and i did!! We went to a couple of housing estates in melbourne's west looking for land, its there, but wont be released just yet!!

    Commenter
    Mayav
    Location
    Melbourne
    Date and time
    October 29, 2009, 12:27PM
  • This economy is on a knife's edge. Buyers have been suckered in to buying at the top end of a bubble ready to burst, (and should have if it were not for government intervention), look out!!Nothing has changed since late last year other than consumer confidence. Based on what? The media? Government spending? The so called ever lasting resources boom?
    There has never been a time where a market has been so interfered with as the one we are now all witnesses to. The correction will come and it will be large.
    Double dip on its way...

    Commenter
    Gus
    Location
    Melbourne
    Date and time
    October 29, 2009, 1:16PM
  • I just recently turned 23 and bought a 3 bedroom house less than 6 months ago. I didn't get any help from my parents in the form of a deposit or security on their house, and im paying for the house myself without a partner. I work as a lvl 1 IT technician which is the bottom of the IT corporate ladder and im able to afford it all, ontop of that I'm paying for a car loan and pay my parents back the debt i owe them for study costs. If i can manage to get a house, then i reckon people are just being spoilt and not willing to sacrifice things to obtain a true asset. People just keep blaming the govt or overseas investors on preventing them from getting a house. Stop complaining and get off your rear ends and work for the things that you want. You think that you should be more deserving of something when others have worked 10 times as hard for it and you whine. Open your eyes, you're competing with the rest of the world not just the guy next to you.

    Commenter
    M
    Date and time
    October 29, 2009, 1:07PM
  • Home ownership is not out of reach of "ordinary folks". Asking the government to penalise investors simply to make it easier for people who either weren't prepared to take the risks or willing to sacrifice their "lifestyle" is ridiculous. My partner and I have managed to grow our property portfolio through a combination of budgeting, sacrificing and a little bit of risk. We don't come from a lot of money - in fact we started at zero not 8 years ago. We're are on average incomes. Stop complaining, cut back on the cafe breakfasts, call off a holiday or two and put your hand up for some risk. I don't see why I should have to make it easier - or be penalised - to benefit people who want to have their cake and eat it too. Get over it. Pull your finger out and stop complaining.

    Commenter
    JonBoy
    Date and time
    October 29, 2009, 1:02PM

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