Business

New home sales leap in January

Chris Zappone
March 1, 2010

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Property: heartbreaking prices

Property editor Marika Dobbin takes a look at the property results from the weekend.

New home sales jumped in January, rising the most in five months, as investors and up-graders took advantage of low interest rates and a strengthening economy to snap up property. Victoria's sales soared.

Nationwide the volume of homes sales jumped 9.5 per cent after falling 4.6 per cent in December, according to data from the Housing Industry Association. The gain was the most since August when they leapt 11 per cent.

''With home prices and interest rates on an upward march, affordability is going to suffer in 2010 until the new stock comes on stream later in the year,'' said TD Securities senior strategist Annette Beacher.

January's surge in home sales comes amid increasing concerns that house prices have been rising too quickly to be sustainable. The First Home Owner Buyer's grant boost enacted last year during a period of low interest rates has induced an estimated 250,000 people into the housing market. The Reserve Bank began raising rates in October, with markets and analysts expecting another rate rise - likely to squeeze new home buyers among other borrowers - tomorrow.

In Victoria, new home sales rose 17.1 per cent, while in New South Wales house sales increased by 3.1 per cent.  They rose 6.3 per cent in Queensland, 6.6 per cent in South Australia and 12.2 per cent in Western Australia.

Prices for house and units rose 1.8 per cent in January, according to RP Data-Rismark said last week, the most in five years, based on preliminary numbers.

''The successful policy of targeting new home construction via the tripling of the grant to first-time buyers has now gone, interest rates are on the rise, and the considerable supply side obstacles to boosting the new housing stock, such as land supply and skilled labour constraints, are still clearly evident,'' said HIA chief economist Harley Dale.

Mr Dale said activity from investors and upgraders, if sustained through the first half of the year, could trigger a new round of building offering relief for a "very challenging period for residential construction."

Detached house sales rose 10.1 per cent in January, while multi-unit sales achieved their second consecutive monthly increase rising 4.1 per cent.

czappone@fairfax.com.au

BusinessDay

22 comments

  • This is good and it means our economy is really strong and it is in a healthy cycle.

    It also means houses price are still cheap enough to attract so many buyers.

    Let us pray build more apartments near the city area !

    Let use pray that RBA make correct movement by raising the interest rate higher (not just 0.25% but 1%) at this stage to avoid asset bubble!

    Commenter
    Raju
    Location
    Melbourne
    Date and time
    March 01, 2010, 10:53AM
  • Spending money like there's no tomorrow...in the new world !

    Commenter
    zac48
    Location
    melb.
    Date and time
    March 01, 2010, 11:10AM
  • This is bad and it means more people are being priced out of owning their own home.
    It also means people are getting more and more into debt to purchase houses at inflated prices.
    The RBA may try and to avoid an asset bubble by raising rates, but this will probably be ineffective.

    Commenter
    wtf
    Location
    Sydney
    Date and time
    March 01, 2010, 11:03AM
  • We're in super-bubble territory now - where a bubble is being inflated on a bubble - thanks to the flood of government housing grants, followed by Chinese (bubble) money. Can it last? Our trade deficit is already opening up again despite the high mineral prices and increased quantites of minerals being exported. Our huge private foreign debt is starting to grow again after shrinking slightly in the last year. On any measure you can choose housing was already ridiculously overpriced and we know from experience what that has always meant in the past. Is this time really different? Lets hope the rest of the developed world has finished with its current asset correction if and when we start ours.

    Commenter
    Crash Likely
    Date and time
    March 01, 2010, 11:37AM
  • This means first home buyers cant be to pickie and buy what is affordable. Which is a house and land package on the city fringes or a unit, apartment, flat in the middle band suburbs not a 4 bedroom McMansion.

    Commenter
    steve
    Location
    Melbourne
    Date and time
    March 01, 2010, 11:51AM
  • Why thay would not advise us how many of this properties were subject to finance???? May be because most of them cash purchases and byers who has cash do not care about rising interest rates.
    Housing affordability is not directly linked to interest rates and this is a intentional misinformation of "genaral public". WIth rising cost of construction,faling number of construction,increasing number of population and finally non-stop printing of US dollars why should property prices fall?

    Commenter
    Propagandafighter
    Date and time
    March 01, 2010, 11:55AM
  • The question is who's buying these homes?
    If you have been to auctions over the past 6-12 months you would have known the large increase in 'asian' or should I say 'foreign' buyers artificially inflating the prices.
    This is becoming detrimental to the Australian buyers who are paying a lot more for houses and will be facing a rate rise
    Only time will tell, but Australia will have a lot of problems in the future due to foreign ownership of residential properties!!

    Commenter
    Emilio
    Location
    Melbourne
    Date and time
    March 01, 2010, 11:58AM
  • Skyrocketing house prices are nothing to celebrate.

    House prices, like other essential items, need to be heavily factored into the CPI calculation. Perhaps then interest rate policy may actually control house prices a bit.

    Commenter
    Andrew
    Location
    Melbourne
    Date and time
    March 01, 2010, 12:04PM
  • How long until the bubble Pops?

    - Rising interest rates, Overseas economic indicators arent great, shortage of houses based on some questionable data to say the least, more people experiencing debt problems due to the excessive debt many people have taken on.

    I reckon another 1-3 months and the bubble would have burst, I wouldnt like to be buying a property in suburban Maelbourne at the moment as an investment!

    Commenter
    Bubble To Pop
    Location
    Melbourne
    Date and time
    March 01, 2010, 12:20PM
  • RBA was quick to drop rates in '08 and now very slow to raise them in 09/10. The whole thing has become a joke.

    Commenter
    Dan
    Location
    melb
    Date and time
    March 01, 2010, 12:24PM

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